Top Plays / Best Bets Section

Today's highest value bets ranked by model edge and probability

Total Plays

42

A-Rated Plays

14

Avg Edge

+7.0%

Avg Hit Rate

62%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKC

A
Ladder PropsOver 20.5

Projection

33.4

Edge

+18.2%

Hit Rate

88% (17/19)

FanDuel: -350DraftKings: -330BetMGM: -360Caesars: -340
96% conf
LeBron James

LeBron James

LAL

A
Alternate LinesOver 24.5

Projection

32.1

Edge

+14.2%

Hit Rate

80% (16/20)

FanDuel: -220DraftKings: -210BetMGM: -230Caesars: -215
94% conf
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo

MIL

A
Ladder PropsOver 25.5

Projection

32.4

Edge

+13.6%

Hit Rate

76% (15/20)

FanDuel: -200DraftKings: -190BetMGM: -205Caesars: -195
92% conf
Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic

DEN

A
Alternate LinesOver 9.5

Projection

12.8

Edge

+12.8%

Hit Rate

78% (15/19)

FanDuel: -195DraftKings: -185BetMGM: -200Caesars: -190
90% conf
Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic

DEN

A
Double DoubleOver 0.5

Projection

0.82

Edge

+12.4%

Hit Rate

82% (16/20)

FanDuel: -280DraftKings: -265BetMGM: -290Caesars: -275
94% conf
Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry

GSW

A
Alternate LinesOver 3.5

Projection

5.4

Edge

+11.4%

Hit Rate

75% (15/20)

FanDuel: -180DraftKings: -170BetMGM: -185Caesars: -175
88% conf
Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry

GSW

A
3PMOver 4.5

Projection

5.4

Edge

+9.2%

Hit Rate

65% (13/20)

FanDuel: +120DraftKings: +130BetMGM: +115Caesars: +125
90% conf
LeBron James

LeBron James

LAL

A
PointsOver 29.5

Projection

32.1

Edge

+9%

Hit Rate

70% (14/20)

FanDuel: -120DraftKings: -115BetMGM: -125Caesars: -118
92% conf
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKC

A
PointsOver 30.5

Projection

33.4

Edge

+8.2%

Hit Rate

68% (13/19)

FanDuel: -110DraftKings: -108BetMGM: -115Caesars: -112
88% conf
Anthony Edwards

Anthony Edwards

MIN

A
3PMOver 2.5

Projection

3.4

Edge

+7.8%

Hit Rate

68% (13/19)

FanDuel: -125DraftKings: -118BetMGM: -120Caesars: -122
82% conf
Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic

DEN

A
PRAOver 46.5

Projection

49.2

Edge

+7.8%

Hit Rate

66% (13/20)

FanDuel: -110DraftKings: -108BetMGM: -112Caesars: -110
84% conf
Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic

DEN

A
ReboundsOver 11.5

Projection

12.8

Edge

+7.4%

Hit Rate

64% (12/19)

FanDuel: -112DraftKings: -108BetMGM: -105Caesars: -110
82% conf
Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo

MIA

A
ReboundsOver 9.5

Projection

10.8

Edge

+7.2%

Hit Rate

64% (13/20)

FanDuel: -110DraftKings: -108BetMGM: -105Caesars: -112
80% conf
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo

MIL

A
ReboundsOver 10.5

Projection

11.8

Edge

+7%

Hit Rate

66% (13/20)

FanDuel: -115DraftKings: -112BetMGM: -110Caesars: -108
80% conf
Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic

DAL

B+
PointsOver 32.5

Projection

34.8

Edge

+6.8%

Hit Rate

62% (12/19)

FanDuel: -112DraftKings: -110BetMGM: -108Caesars: -114
75% conf
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKC

B+
StealsOver 1.5

Projection

2.1

Edge

+6.8%

Hit Rate

62% (12/19)

FanDuel: +105DraftKings: +110BetMGM: -105Caesars: +108
76% conf
LeBron James

LeBron James

LAL

B+
PAOver 35.5

Projection

37.8

Edge

+6.8%

Hit Rate

64% (12/19)

FanDuel: -110DraftKings: -112BetMGM: -108Caesars: -110
78% conf
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo

MIL

B+
PROver 41.5

Projection

43.8

Edge

+6.4%

Hit Rate

62% (12/19)

FanDuel: -108DraftKings: -110BetMGM: -105Caesars: -112
76% conf
LeBron James

LeBron James

LAL

B+
1st QuarterOver 7.5

Projection

8.6

Edge

+6.4%

Hit Rate

60% (12/20)

FanDuel: -110DraftKings: -108BetMGM: -112Caesars: -110
72% conf
Ja Morant

Ja Morant

MEM

B+
AssistsOver 7.5

Projection

8.6

Edge

+6.4%

Hit Rate

62% (12/19)

FanDuel: -108DraftKings: -105BetMGM: -110Caesars: -108
74% conf
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo

MIL

B+
PointsOver 30.5

Projection

32.4

Edge

+6.4%

Hit Rate

62% (12/19)

FanDuel: -112DraftKings: -108BetMGM: -110Caesars: -114
76% conf
Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic

DEN

B+
AssistsOver 8.5

Projection

9.4

Edge

+6.2%

Hit Rate

60% (12/20)

FanDuel: -112DraftKings: -110BetMGM: -108Caesars: -115
74% conf
Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum

BOS

B+
PointsOver 27.5

Projection

29.4

Edge

+6%

Hit Rate

58% (11/19)

FanDuel: -108DraftKings: -112BetMGM: -110Caesars: -115
72% conf
Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry

GSW

B+
PointsOver 26.5

Projection

28.4

Edge

+5.8%

Hit Rate

60% (12/20)

FanDuel: -110DraftKings: -108BetMGM: -115Caesars: -110
72% conf
Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic

DAL

B+
TurnoversOver 3.5

Projection

4.2

Edge

+5.6%

Hit Rate

58% (11/19)

FanDuel: -110DraftKings: -108BetMGM: -112Caesars: -110
68% conf
Devin Booker

Devin Booker

PHX

B+
PointsOver 24.5

Projection

26.4

Edge

+5.6%

Hit Rate

60% (12/20)

FanDuel: -108DraftKings: -110BetMGM: -112Caesars: -108
70% conf
Tyrese Haliburton

Tyrese Haliburton

IND

B+
AssistsOver 10.5

Projection

11.2

Edge

+5.4%

Hit Rate

58% (11/19)

FanDuel: -108DraftKings: -105BetMGM: -112Caesars: -110
70% conf
Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic

DAL

B+
PRAOver 50.5

Projection

52.8

Edge

+5.4%

Hit Rate

58% (11/19)

FanDuel: -112DraftKings: -108BetMGM: -110Caesars: -115
68% conf
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo

MIL

B+
1st HalfOver 16.5

Projection

17.8

Edge

+5.2%

Hit Rate

58% (11/19)

FanDuel: -112DraftKings: -110BetMGM: -108Caesars: -112
66% conf
Anthony Edwards

Anthony Edwards

MIN

B+
PointsOver 24.5

Projection

26.2

Edge

+5.2%

Hit Rate

58% (11/19)

FanDuel: -112DraftKings: -108BetMGM: -110Caesars: -114
68% conf
Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic

DAL

B+
AssistsOver 8.5

Projection

9.8

Edge

+5%

Hit Rate

62% (12/19)

FanDuel: +110DraftKings: +115BetMGM: +105Caesars: +112
68% conf
Julius Randle

Julius Randle

MIN

B
PROver 29.5

Projection

31.2

Edge

+5%

Hit Rate

58% (11/19)

FanDuel: -110DraftKings: -108BetMGM: -112Caesars: -110
66% conf
Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid

PHI

B
ReboundsOver 10.5

Projection

11.4

Edge

+4.8%

Hit Rate

55% (10/18)

FanDuel: -110DraftKings: -108BetMGM: -112Caesars: -110
65% conf
Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic

DEN

B
Triple DoubleOver 0.5

Projection

0.32

Edge

+4.8%

Hit Rate

32% (6/19)

FanDuel: +250DraftKings: +275BetMGM: +240Caesars: +260
58% conf
Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero

ORL

B
ReboundsOver 6.5

Projection

7.2

Edge

+4.8%

Hit Rate

58% (11/19)

FanDuel: -110DraftKings: -108BetMGM: -112Caesars: -110
66% conf
Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid

PHI

B
PointsOver 33.5

Projection

35.2

Edge

+4.4%

Hit Rate

56% (10/18)

FanDuel: -110DraftKings: -108BetMGM: -115Caesars: -112
64% conf
Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid

PHI

B
BlocksOver 1.5

Projection

1.9

Edge

+4.2%

Hit Rate

54% (9/17)

FanDuel: -105DraftKings: +100BetMGM: -108Caesars: -105
60% conf
Cade Cunningham

Cade Cunningham

DET

B
PRAOver 34.5

Projection

36.2

Edge

+4.2%

Hit Rate

56% (10/18)

FanDuel: -108DraftKings: -110BetMGM: -105Caesars: -108
62% conf
Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant

PHX

B
PointsOver 25.5

Projection

27.2

Edge

+4%

Hit Rate

56% (10/18)

FanDuel: -115DraftKings: -110BetMGM: -108Caesars: -112
62% conf
Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum

BOS

C
1st HalfOver 14.5

Projection

15.2

Edge

+3.6%

Hit Rate

52% (10/19)

FanDuel: -108DraftKings: -110BetMGM: -105Caesars: -108
58% conf
Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard

MIL

C
3PMOver 3.5

Projection

3.8

Edge

+3.4%

Hit Rate

52% (10/19)

FanDuel: -110DraftKings: -108BetMGM: -112Caesars: -110
55% conf
Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown

BOS

C
PointsOver 22.5

Projection

23.8

Edge

+3.4%

Hit Rate

54% (10/19)

FanDuel: -112DraftKings: -110BetMGM: -108Caesars: -112
56% conf